mercredi 29 décembre 2010

Deflation?

I just check my Amazon cart and the list of purchases because I plan to place an order. I am very surprised to discover that ALL the item prices have decreased: sometimes a lot! Are these deflated prices reflected in the CPI? Or is this true deflation only a short term side effect of the crisis? Or is macroeconomics in need of better indices?


"Please note that the price of Public Debt and the Birth of the Democratic State: France and Great Britain 1688-1789 (Political Economy of Institutions and Decisions) has decreased from $27.94 to $6.00 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of The Selfish Gene: 30th Anniversary Edition--with a new Introduction by the Author has decreased from $8.82 to $8.24 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of Vascular Manifestations of Systemic Autoimmune Diseases has decreased from $63.78 to $40.72 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of Leatherman 830039 New Wave Multitool with Leather/Nylon Combination Sheath has decreased from $62.75 to $60.71 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of Altus Athletic 3 in 1 Chin-Up Bar + Push-Up Bar + Sit-Up Bar has decreased from $22.31 to $21.89 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of Measuring the Gains from Medical Research: An Economic Approach has decreased from $20.89 to $11.05 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of The Selfish Gene: 30th Anniversary Edition--with a new Introduction by the Author has decreased from $13.57 to $11.79 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of Brunton My-Ti 3-Piece Titanium Flatware Set has decreased from $18.08 to $17.94 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness has decreased from $18.45 to $16.60 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of Reflections on the Revolution In Europe: Immigration, Islam, and the West has decreased from $20.45 to $19.80 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of Macroeconomics has decreased from $131.10 to $127.63 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of Price Pfister 046-M0BE Marielle Double-Handle Mini-Widespread 4-Inch Centerset Lavatory Faucet with Pop-Up, Rustic Pewter has decreased from $149.28 to $121.90 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of The Big Questions: Tackling the Problems of Philosophy with Ideas from Mathematics, Economics, and Physics has decreased from $17.16 to $15.44 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly has decreased from $23.10 to $20.84 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of Honoring Our Cycles: A Natural Family Planning Workbook has decreased from $9.50 to $8.33 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of Healthcare, Guaranteed: A Simple, Secure Solution for America has decreased from $11.21 to $9.15 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of Evolutionary Medicine has decreased from $60.00 to $50.62 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages.
Please note that the price of Evolution in Health and Disease has decreased from $66.85 to $63.98 since you placed it in your Shopping Cart. Items in your cart will always reflect the most recent price displayed on their product detail pages."

La preuve par les faits: les politiciens européens n'agissent que sous la contrainte

1er acte les controleurs du ciel espagnols font grève et paralysent l'activité économique du pays qui est dans une crise très sévère.
2ème acte Zapatero le premier ministre après quelques tergiversations les réquisitionne
3ème acte l'Espagne privatise son contrôle aérien.
Tout cela sans que personne ne bouge.
Alors si c'est nécessaire à la survie du pays je veux bien que l'on mette DSK.
Pour que cela aille plus vite.
Ce n'est un plaidoyer pour la politique du pire c'est du pragmatisme.

mardi 28 décembre 2010

Electricité en France: la fausse concurrence...

Comment ça marche, Et bien c'est assez compliqué mais les prix de marché sont maintenant accessibles sur la plateforme EEX.com rubrique 
French Financial Power Futures.
Poweo ne vend pas autre chose que du tarif réglementé...
http://medias.poweo.com/fileadmin/contribution/CGV-tarifs-fiche-CRE/POWEO_tarif_particuliers%20Oct10.pdf
Mais quel est le prix du marché?
http://www.eex.com/en/Market%20Data/Trading%20Data/Power/French%20Financial%20Power%20Futures%20|%20Derivatives/French%20Financial%20Week%20Futures%20Chart%20|%20Derivatives/futures-chart/F7B2/2011.01/2010-12-28/a/7/0/0/-
Soit environ 60Euro/Mwh soit 0,06 Euro le KWh. Ce Kwh  qui est revendu entre (HP versus HC) 0,112 et 0,07839 Euro/Kwh par Powéo. Bien sur la marge est incalculable car Powéo nous assure délivrer 100% d'électricité verte... mais c'est grace aux certificats verts.
Mais EDF fait mieux de 0,1412 à 0,0803 (!). La grande fée bleue de l'électricité nationale est très chère!
Direct énergie fait du discount 0,1116 et 0,0711 mais pour un an... Après c'est libre.
Enercoop une coopérative est très très chère: tarif unique 0,1439! C'est curieux que finalement une coopérative soit plus chère qu'une firme à but lucratif, le dividende aux actionnaires dans les firmes à but commercial est finalement moins coûteux pour le consommateur que la gestion coopérative. C'est ce que les coopérateurs appellent une démarche éthique.

Bref c'est bien un cartel et pour le particulier c'est très difficile car le retour aux tarifs réglementés n'est plus possible depuis juillet 2010.

Notons que pour les entreprises les tarifs EDF sont: 0,0841 versus 0,0545.
Pour connaître le prix de revient et la marge il faut se plonger dans les comptes d'EDF.
Au total il est très difficile de choisir; et bien sur quand on appelle pour connaître les détails c'est très compliqué, par exemple que recouvre l'abonnement qui est facturé? En Belgique certains opérateurs ne facturent pas d'abonnement. L'abonnement est il une arnaque? Bien évidemment car vous n'obtiendrez pas la facture détaillée de votre abonnement .
 
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