Figure 1. Unadjusted Mortality and Rates of Medicaid Coverage among
Nonelderly Adults before and after State Medicaid Expansions (1997–2007).
The vertical line represents the year during which the Medicaid expansions
were implemented, meaning that year 1 was the first full year after the expansions
(2002 for Arizona and New York and 2003 for Maine). In unadjusted
models, the expansions were associated with a significant decrease in all-cause
mortality in expansion states, as compared with control states (−25.4 deaths
per 100,000 population; 95% confidence interval [CI], −46.0 to −4.8; P = 0.02)
(Panel A) and a significant increase in Medicaid coverage (by 2.2 percentage
points; 95% CI, 0.7 to 3.7; P = 0.01) (Panel B). Data for adults between the ages
of 20 and 64 years are included in Panel A and data for those between the
ages of 19 and 64 years in Panel B, owing to differences in the two data sets.
The truth is that Medicaid is probably the only program which deserves tax money.
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