A blog for humans in the universe, to understand what we know now and to imagine what we don't know. To bridge the gap between the real world, its image in our brain and the ideas generated by.
samedi 9 avril 2016
vendredi 8 avril 2016
Forecast of economic powers of 2040 by the last RW Fogel (NP)
http://www.nber.org/papers/w13184.pdf
Russia is not in the top 5. No surprise except for some east looking people in Europe. The EU will grow weakly and will lost its econ power.
Russia is not in the top 5. No surprise except for some east looking people in Europe. The EU will grow weakly and will lost its econ power.
Efficiency in unuseful actions
“There is nothing quite so useless as doing with great efficiency something that should not be done at all.”
Peter Drucker
Areva, EDF, SNCF, CNCM, Huchon, Royal: l'effondrement financier
Un pays qui s'occupe des Panama Papers alors que ses politiques sont en train de le ruiner mérite de connaître la faillite.
mercredi 6 avril 2016
The list of countries which destroyed value by expelling Jews from their land.
Il y a 8 494 400 habitants en Israel.
8,489.4 |
Balance commerciale d'Israel
Résultats encourageants sur le plan économique |
LE at birth for jewish males |
LE at birth for jewish females |
|
Blue CVD, Red cancers and yellow cerebrovascular diseases |
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mardi 5 avril 2016
Carbon tax and the collapse of gas prices: a failure for pigovian taxes?
Why carbon taxes will not work in this setting.
"Look at it this way. A study by Michael Greenstone and Thomas Covert of the University of Chicago and Professor Knittel concluded that at current battery prices, for an electric vehicle to be cheaper to run than a gas-power car, oil would have to cost $350 a barrel. Last year, it averaged $50. To make up the difference would require a carbon tax of $700 a ton of carbon dioxide."
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/02/business/does-a-carbon-tax-work-ask-british-columbia.html?smid=pl-share&_r=0
"Look at it this way. A study by Michael Greenstone and Thomas Covert of the University of Chicago and Professor Knittel concluded that at current battery prices, for an electric vehicle to be cheaper to run than a gas-power car, oil would have to cost $350 a barrel. Last year, it averaged $50. To make up the difference would require a carbon tax of $700 a ton of carbon dioxide."
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/02/business/does-a-carbon-tax-work-ask-british-columbia.html?smid=pl-share&_r=0
Flu vaccine
http://cid.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2016/03/10/cid.ciw082.abstract
"Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study"
In one word it is very difficult to get a causation link with this kind of study.
0.5 vs 0.3/100 000 another time with such a magnitude of the supposed effect causation is far from probable even if the stats tell us a CI of less than 5% to be wrong.
It is is just a trend which has to be proved by a RCT.
"Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study"
In one word it is very difficult to get a causation link with this kind of study.
0.5 vs 0.3/100 000 another time with such a magnitude of the supposed effect causation is far from probable even if the stats tell us a CI of less than 5% to be wrong.
It is is just a trend which has to be proved by a RCT.
lundi 4 avril 2016
dimanche 3 avril 2016
Le conservatisme français balbutie
"Quand la politique fait défaut - et c'est l'honneur d'une partie de la gauche de n'avoir cessé de le rappeler -, c'est toujours le plus faible et le plus fragile dans la société qui en paie le prix."
Cette assertion est totalement contredite par la réalité. Quand l'État dépense 57,5 % du PIB il n'y a plus d'opportunités pour ceux qui veulent entrer dans l'économie. Il ne leur reste que les trappes sociales.
Tel Aviv
https://m.youtube.com/watch?feature=youtu.be&v=LPTp4KEoyKs
Après le Bauhaus une pizza chez Dude...
https://bezzopizza.co.il/
Après le Bauhaus une pizza chez Dude...
https://bezzopizza.co.il/